25 ãéëì óïìîåþîïê áëôé÷îïóôé, ÷åô÷ø òïóôá: æáúá íáëóéíõíá ïâúïò óïóôïñîéñ óïìîåþîïê áëôé÷îïóôé, çåïüææåëôé÷îùè ñ÷ìåîéê é éè ÷ïúäåêóô÷éê îá ïëïìïúåíîïå ëïóíéþåóëïå ðòïóôòáîóô÷ï îá ðåòéïä 22.07.2024 - 28.07.2024 Ç. é ðòïçîïú îá 29.07.2024 - 05.08.2024 Ç. ëüòòéîçôïîï÷óëéå ïâïòïôù 2286(29,90.06.2024)-2287(27,11.07.2024) úåíìñ ÷îå ðìïóëïóôé óïìîåþîïçï üë÷áôïòá (BÏ: (+5.0 - +5.6) ÇÒÁÄ) (ÚÏÎÁ ÇÅÏÜÆÆÅËÔÉ×ÎÏÓÔÉ S25 - N35) ðñôîïïâòáúï÷áôåìøîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø óïìîãá âùìá îá ÷ùóïëïí õòï÷îå. òáóþ³ôîïå óòåäîåå úîáþåîéå íåöäõîáòïäîïçï ïôîïóéôåìøîïçï þéóìá óïìîåþîùè ðñôåî úá ðåòéïä óïóôá÷éìï W= 174+15/-14 (WÓ=116+10/-9). îá ÷éäéíïí äéóëå óïìîãá îáâìàäáìïóø 16 çòõðð ðñôåî (AR13761, AR13762, AR13765 - óòåäîåê ðìïýáäé), éú îéè 10 îáèïäéìéóø ÷ àöîïí ðïìõûáòéé. îá óìåäõàýåê îåäåìå ðñôîïïâòáúï÷áôåìøîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø ïöéäáåôóñ îá óòåäîåí, ÷ùóïëïí é, ÷ïúíïöîï, ïþåîø ÷ùóïëïí õòï÷îñè. óòåäîåå ïöéäáåíïå úîáþåîéå þéóìá óïìîåþîùè ðñôåî úá ðåòéïä W=170+40/-40. ÷ ôåþåîéå îåäåìé ÷óðùûåþîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø âùìá îá ÷ùóïëïí é óòåäîåí õòï÷îñè. úá ðåòéïä îáâìàäáìéóø 26 ÷óðùûåë òåîôçåîï÷óëïçï ëìáóóá M, éú îéè 3 âïìøûéè (>M5), 88 ÷óðùûåë ëìáóóá C, 3 ÷ùâòïóá óïìîåþîùè ÷ïìïëïî é 65 ëïòïîáìøîùè ÷ùâòïóï÷ ÷åýåóô÷á, éú ëïôïòùè 3 âùìé ôéðá IV (ÕÇÌÏ×ÁÑ ÛÉÒÉÎÁ 270-360 ÇÒÁÄ), 2 - ôéðá III (180-270 ÇÒÁÄ) é 7 - ôéðá II (90-180 ÇÒÁÄ). -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ÷óðùûëé âáììï÷ ïô í1 (É ÏÔÄÅÌØÎÙÅ ÚÎÁÞÉÍÙÅ ×ÓÐÙÛÅÞÎÙÅ ÓÏÂÙÔÉÑ ÍÅÎØÛÅÇÏ ÂÁÌÌÁ): to tm te ËÏÏÒÄÉÎÁÔÙ ÂÁÌÌ å(1-8A) AO RII/IV CME/to ÒÅÎÔ/ÏÐ J/m-2 km/s 20240722 0327 0333 0337 S12E55L019 M1.4/SF 2.3E-03 13762 20240722 0355 0404>0409 S12E55L019 M4.0/SN 2.3E-03 13762 20240722 0414 0434 0646 S12E54L019 M1.9/1F 1.8E-02 13762 20240722 0931 0935 0940 N14W90L148 M1.5/SF 6.0E-03 13744 20240722 1247 1300 1304 N14W90L148 M1.5 9.8E-03 13744 20240723 1349 1428 1444 S11E90L328 M2.5/SF 7.8E-02 13765 II/2|359 CMEII/1424 20240724 0728 0742 0750 S06W64L092 M3.6/2B 2.3E-02 13751 II/2|404 CME/0823 IV/2 20240724 1707 1721 1732 S07W71L092 M2.9/1F 1.6E-02 13751 II/2|665 CMEII/1736 20240725 1527 1537 1543 S07W85L092 M1.3/SF 7.1E-03 13751 II/3|563 CME/1600 20240726 0430 0442 0451 S10W71L082 M1.7/SF 9.7E-03 13761 20240727 0221 0237 0300 S07E25L331 M4.2/1N 3.0E-02 13766 20240727 0512 0546 0641 S11W25L019 M3.1/SF 7.6E-02 13762 II/2|258 CMEIV/0636 20240727 1016 1040 1056 S12W28L019 M2.0/1N 4.2E-02 13762 20240727 1750 1806 1940 S06E16L328 M2.7/2B 5.1E-03 13765 20240727*1736 1839 1856 S11W32L019 M3.5/1B 4.1E-02 13762 20240727*1911 1938 2046 S12W34L019 M1.1/1B 13762 20240728 0139 0151 0153 S07E11L331 M7.9 3.7E-02 13766 II/3|1053 20240728 0153 0157 0201 S07E10L331 M9.9/2B 4.7E-02 13766 CMEIV/0224 20240728 0337 0348 0404 S11W36L019 M1.6/SF 2.2E-02 13762 20240728 1000 1008 1026 S09W40L019 M1.1 13762 20240728*1027 1042 1058 S11W41L019 M7.8/1B 7.2E-02 13762 20240728*1128 1200 1618 S11W41L019 M1.7/1B 13762 20240728 1243 1250 1255 S08E23L316 M2.6/SF 1.4E-02 13767 20240728 1346 1422 1435 S15W25L004 M1.7/1N 13768 CMEIV/1448 20240728 1759 1826 1902 S16W27L004 M1.3/1F 1.8E-02 13768 20240728 2025 2036 2100 S09W46L019 M1.9/1N 1.6E-02 13762 * - ÎÅÓËÏÌØËÏ ÒÅÎÔÇÅÎÏ×ÓËÉÈ ×ÓÐÌÅÓËÏ× × ÏÄÎÏÊ ÏÐÔÉÞÅÓËÏÊ ×ÓÐÙÛËÅ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ÷ùâòïóù óïìîåþîùè ÷ïìïëïî: Bó÷* to te localization l × ÇÒÁÄ. Fl AO CMEÔÉÐ/to 20240724 <1824 W limb CMEII/1824 20240726 <2124 DSF CME/2124 20240728 <0550 NE quadrant CME/0550 * - ×ÙÂÒÏÓÙ ÓÏÌÎÅÞÎÙÈ ×ÏÌÏËÏÎ (DSF, EPL) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- îá óìåäõàýåê îåäåìå ÷óðùûåþîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø ïöéäáåôóñ îá óòåäîåí, ÷ùóïëïí é, ÷ïúíïöîï, ïþåîø ÷ùóïëïí õòï÷îñè. îá ÷éäéíïí äéóëå óïìîãá çåïüææåëôé÷îùè ëïòïîáìøîùè äùò îå îáâìàäáìïóø. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ó 25.07/1310 UT úåíìñ îáèïäéìáóø ÷ "+" óåëôïòå íåöðìáîåôîïçï íáçîéôîïçï ðïìñ. îá óìåäõàýåê îåäåìå ðåòåóåþåîéñ óåëôïòîïê çòáîéãù îå ïöéäáåôóñ. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- éàìø 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 éàìø Wus 173 167 160 171 181 178 189 F10.7 185 176 175 167 176 204 214 Xbcg ó2.2 C1.5 C1.3 C1.3 C1.5 C1.8 C3.1 GOES Sp 1080 1175 880 730 1060 1320 1920 msh N 2 1 1 1 2 0 1 IMF sign + + - +/- + + + DSCOVR,ACE e>2 9.6E+5 1.2E+6 1.1E+6 1.1E+6 9.7E+5 3.4E+6 7.4E+6 GOES Ie>2 107 136 120 <100 106 179 337 pfu Ap 7 4 5 8 23 10 6 nT Dst -51 -30 nT KIOTO Amsc 10 9 6 10 26 12 8 nT IZMIRAN ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- IÅ>2 - ÐÉËÏ×ÙÊ ÐÏÔÏË ÜÌÅËÔÒÏÎÏ× Ó å>2 MeV × pfu (e/(cm2-sr-s)) × ÔÅÞÅÎÉÅ ÓÕÔÏË (ÓÏÂÙÔÉÑ Ó ÐÏÔÏËÏÍ >=1000 pfu); e>2 - ÎÁËÏÐÌÅÎÎÙÊ ÚÁ ÓÕÔËÉ ÐÏÔÏË ÜÌÅËÔÒÏÎÏ× ÎÁ ÇÅÏÓÔÁÃÉÏÎÁÒÎÙÈ ÏÒÂÉÔÁÈ ÐÏ ÄÁÎ- ÎÙÍ ëá GOES × e/(cm2-sr-day). Pr>10 Mev: to 23.07/0120 UT, tmax 23.07/0555, Ipmax 24.2 pfu, te 24.07/0710 Pr>100 Mev: to 23.07/0205 UT, tmax 23.07/0430, Ipmax 1.61 pfu, te 23.07/1510 ðïôïëï÷ üìåëôòïîï÷ ó å>2 MeV ÷ùûå õòï÷îñ 1000 pfu îå îáâìàäáìïóø. îá óìåäõàýåê îåäåìå ÷ïúíïöîï ðòå÷ùûåîéå ðïôïëïí üìåëôòïîï÷ ó å>2 MeV îá çåïóéîèòïîîïê ïòâéôå ðïòïçá 1000 pfu 26 éàìñ îáâìàäáìáóø íáìáñ íáçîéôîáñ (G1, Ams=29, ÄÌÉÔ=18 Þ ðï äáîîùí ãåîôòá ÷ âïõìäåòå), (G1, Ams=27, ÄÌÉÔ=18 Þ ðï äáîîùí ãåîôòá ÷ ðïôóäáíå) é (G1, Ams = 28, ÄÌÉÔ = 21 Þ ðï äáîîùí éúíéòáî)÷óìåäóô÷éå ÷ïúäåêóô÷éñ óíå ïô ÷óðùûëé 23.07/0349. ÷ ïóôáìøîïå ÷òåíñ çåïíáçîéôîáñ ïâóôáîï÷ëá íåîñìáóø ïô óðïëïêîïê äï óìáâï÷ïúíõýåîîïê. 29 éàìñ - 1 á÷çõóôá ïöéäáåôóñ ÷ïúíõýåîîáñ çåïíáçîéôîáñ ïâóôáîï÷ëá ÷ðìïôø äï óéìøîïê íáçîéôîïê âõòé ÷óìåäóô÷éå ðïóìåäï÷áôåìøîïçï ÷ïúäåêóô÷éñ óíå ïô óïìîåþîùè ÷óðùûåë 27.07/0546, 28.07/0157 é 28.07/1422 UT. ÷ï ÷ôïòïê ðïìï÷éîå îåäåìé ôáëöå îå éóëìàþåîù íáçîéôîùå âõòé éú-úá ÷ùóïëïçï ÷óðù- ûåþîïçï ðïôåîãéáìá çåïüææåëôé÷îï òáóðïìïöåîîïçï ëïíðìåëóá áëôé÷îùè ïâìáóôåê. ïâúïò é ðòïçîïú óïóôá÷ìåî ðï íáôåòéáìáí óìõöâù óïìîãá âïõìäåò, óûá http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ ãåîôòá óâïòá é ïâòáâïôëé óïìîåþîùè éîäåëóï÷, âòàóóåìø, âåìøçéñ http://sidc.oma.be/, éúíéòáî (ôòïéãë, òïóóéñ) http://www.izmiran.ru. ÷.î.éÛËÏ×, î.é.ìÅÂÅÄÅ×, í.î.ìÅÂÅÄÅ×