25 ãéëì óïìîåþîïê áëôé÷îïóôé, ÷åô÷ø òïóôá: æáúá íáëóéíõíá ïâúïò óïóôïñîéñ óïìîåþîïê áëôé÷îïóôé, çåïüææåëôé÷îùè ñ÷ìåîéê é éè ÷ïúäåêóô÷éê îá ïëïìïúåíîïå ëïóíéþåóëïå ðòïóôòáîóô÷ï îá ðåòéïä 09.09.2024 - 15.09.2024 Ç. é ðòïçîïú îá 16.09.2024 - 23.09.2024 Ç. ëüòòéîçôïîï÷óëéå ïâïòïôù 2288(23,34.08.2024) - 2289(19,60.09.2024) úåíìñ ÷îå ðìïóëïóôé óïìîåþîïçï üë÷áôïòá (BÏ: (+7.2 - +7.2) ÇÒÁÄ) (ÚÏÎÁ ÇÅÏÜÆÆÅËÔÉ×ÎÏÓÔÉ S23 - N37) ðñôîïïâòáúï÷áôåìøîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø óïìîãá âùìá îá óòåäîåí, ÷ùóïëïí é ïþåîø ÷ùóïëïí õòï÷îñè. òáóþ³ôîïå óòåäîåå úîáþåîéå íåöäõîáòïäîïçï ïôîïóéôåìøîïçï þéóìá óïìîåþîùè ðñôåî úá ðåòéïä óïóôá÷éìï W= 147+66/-79 (WÓ=98+44/-53). îá ÷éäéíïí äéóëå óïìîãá îáâìàäáìïóø 15 çòõðð ðñôåî (AR13814 - óòåäîåê ðìïýáäé,), éú îéè 12 îáèïäéìéóø ÷ àöîïí ðïìõûáòéé. îá óìåäõàýåê îåäåìå ðñôîïïâòáúï÷áôåìøîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø ïöéäáåôóñ îá óòåäîåí õòï÷îå. óòåäîåå ïöéäáåíïå úîáþåîéå þéóìá óïìîåþîùè ðñôåî úá ðåòéïä W=90+40/-40. ÷ ôåþåîéå îåäåìé ÷óðùûåþîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø âùìá îá ÷ùóïëïí, óòåäîåí é îéúëïí õòï÷îñè. úá ðåòéïä îáâìàäáìéóø 2 ÷óðùûëé òåîôçåîï÷óëïçï ëìáóóá X, 35 ÷óðùûåë ëìáóóá M, éú îéè 4 âïìøûéè (>M5) 59 ÷óðùûåë ëìáóóá C, 4 ÷ùâòïóá óïìîåþîùè ÷ïìïëïî é 38 ëïòïîáìøîùè ÷ùâòïóï÷ ÷åýåóô÷á, éú ëïôïòùè 1 âùì ôéðá II (ÕÇÌÏ×ÁÑ ÛÉÒÉÎÁ 90-180 ÇÒÁÄ) é 2 ôéðá IV (ÕÇÌÏ×ÁÑ ÛÉÒÉÎÁ 270-360 ÇÒÁÄ). -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ÷óðùûëé âáììï÷ ïô í1 (É ÏÔÄÅÌØÎÙÅ ÚÎÁÞÉÍÙÅ ×ÓÐÙÛÅÞÎÙÅ ÓÏÂÙÔÉÑ ÍÅÎØÛÅÇÏ ÂÁÌÌÁ): to tm te ËÏÏÒÄÉÎÁÔÙ ÂÁÌÌ å(1-8A) AO RII/IV CME/to ÒÅÎÔ/ÏÐ J/m-2 km/s 20240909 0057 0332 0502 S02W89L213 M1.0 9.5E-02 13806 CME/0136 20240909 0540 0545 0602 S13W78L213 M1.8 1.9E-02 13806 20240909 0841 0850 0902 S13W87L213 M1.5 1.8E-02 13806 20240909 0957 1027 1048 S14W87L213 M1.7 4.3E-02 13806 20240909 1211 1217 1224 S14W45L176 M1.0 7.3E-03 13811 20240909 1658 1708 1734 N15E15L116 M3.4/2N 2.4E-02 13814 20240909 2314 0028 0139 N16E09L116 M1.2/1F 5.1E-02 13814 II/2|408 CME/0023 IV/1 20240910 1534 1547 1604 S11W88L213 M1.6 1.8E-02 13806 20240910 2338 2350 2359 N14W01L116 M1.0/1N 7.1E-03 13814 CME/0223 20240911 1227 1236 1254 N15W08L116 M1.8/2N 1.6E-03 13814 20240911 1509 1518 1524 S13W75L176 M1.4/SF 3.4E-03 13811 20240911 1524 1530 1546 S14E90 M1.8 2.6E-03 20240911 1716 1726 1732 S14W73L176 M1.6 2.7E-03 13811 20240911 1744 1752 1839 N15W11L116 M2.0/1F 1.4E-02 13814 20240911 2349 0012 0032 S15W78L176 M5.0 7.3E-02 13811 20240912 0355 0404 0411 S15W83L176 M1.0 7.8E-03 13811 20240912^0426 0432 0441 N13W01L116 M1.2/1N 7.0E-03 13814 20240912^0427 0432 0453 S29W44L139 M1.2 13815 20240912 0604 0618 0631 S15W81L176 M2.7/SF 2.4E-02 13811 20240912 0931 0943 0951 S16E90 X1.3 7.6E-02 20240912 1313 1321 1332 S16W87L176 M1.2 1.2E-02 13811 20240912 1431 1443 1447 S15W87L176 M6.8/SF 2.1E-02 13811 20240912 1456 1506 1520 S12E90 M1.6 2.2E-02 20240912 2134 2227 2300 S17E90 M2.1 20240913 0046 0056 0105 S13W87L176 M1.5 1.6E-02 13811 CMEII/0130 20240913 0129 0137 0154 S13W87L176 M1.6 2.0E-02 13811 20240913 0233 0239 0244 S18W79L166 M1.3 9.2E-03 13823 20240913 0437 0440 0446 S15E73L139 M2.1/SF 1.3E-02 13815 20240913 0458 0500 0507 S15W87L176 M2.3 1.3E-02 13811 20240913 0638 0656 0703 S12W88L176 M5.4 6.9E-02 13811 20240913 0703 0708 0712 S12W88L176 M5.2 3.1E-02 13811 20240913^0814 0837 0850 N13W29L116 M2.9/SF 5.5E-02 13814 20240913^0814 0837 0854 S18W87L166 M2.9 13823 20240913^1456 1508 1533 S15E67L013 M1.2/SF 2.4E-02 13825 20240913^1456 1512 1545 S12W88L176 M1.2 13811 20240913 1749 1756 1805 S15E62L013 M1.4/SF 9.2E-03 13825 20240913 2041 2049 2104 S15E63L013 M1.1/SF 8.3E-03 13825 20240914 0310 0431 0722 S28W85L139 M1.0/SF 1.1E-01 13815 CME/>0312 20240914 0726 0741 0753 S17E53L013 M3.0 3.0E-02 13825 20240914 1513 1529 1700 S16E59L013 X4.5/2B 5.8E-01 13825 CMEIV/1536 ^ - ÏÄÎÏ×ÒÅÍÅÎÎÙÅ ×ÓÐÙÛËÉ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ÷ùâòïóù óïìîåþîùè ÷ïìïëïî: Bó÷* to te localization l × ÇÒÁÄ. Fl AO CMEÔÉÐ/to 20240912 0702 1238 N27W28L124 13 20240913 >0022 >1412 S06W22L109 9 20240913 >1620 >0522 S23E38L040 17 20240914 >0015 >1409 S07E20L054 8 * - ×ÙÂÒÏÓÙ ÓÏÌÎÅÞÎÙÈ ×ÏÌÏËÏÎ (DSF, EPL) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- îá óìåäõàýåê îåäåìå ÷óðùûåþîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø ïöéäáåôóñ îá îéúëïí, óòåäîåí é ÷ùóïëïí õòï÷îñè. îá ÷éäéíïí äéóëå óïìîãá îáâìàäáìéóø çåïüææåëôé÷îùå ëïòïîáìøîùå äùòù ó ëïïòäéîáôáíé: ÚÎÁË N ËÏÎÅà å ËÏÎÅà S ËÏÎÅà W ËÏÎÅà Sch ïëð R G KA CH*- N85L081 N75L021 N33L105 N40L124 5.2% 14-15.09 5 2 SDO, HINODE CH + S13L091 S43L058 S57L074 S39L102 4.2% 16-17.09 3 0 SDO, HINODE CH + N17L060 N15L058 N03L063 N09L067 0.5% 18-19.09 1 - SDO, HINODE CH + N37L009 N33L007 N27L034 N28L038 0.7% 20-21.09 1 - SDO, HINODE * - ÎÉÚËÁÑ ÇÅÏÜÆÆÅËÔÉ×ÎÏÓÔØ, ×ÏÚÍÏÖÎÙ ÔÏÌØËÏ ÓÕÂÂÕÒÉ Ó ÄÌÉÔ. <6 Þ. Sch - ÐÌÏÝÁÄØ ëä × % ÐÌÏÝÁÄÉ ×ÉÄÉÍÏÊ ÐÏÌÕÓÆÅÒÙ ×ÂÌÉÚÉ ÃÅÎÔÒÁÌØÎÏÇÏ ÍÅÒÉÄÉÁÎÁ ÐÏ https://www.solarmonitor.org/; n/d - ÎÅÔ ÄÁÎÎÙÈ; ïëð - ÄÁÔÁ ×ÅÒÏÑÔÎÏÇÏ ÇÅÏÍÁÇÎÉÔÎÏÇÏ ×ÏÚÍÕÝÅÎÉÑ × ïëð; R - ×ÏÚÒÁÓÔ × ÏÂÏÒÏÔÁÈ óÏÌÎÃÁ; G(0-5)- ÇÅÏÍÁÇÎÉÔÎÁÑ ×ÏÚÍÕÝ£ÎÎÏÓÔØ ÎÁ ÐÒÏÛÌÏÍ ÏÂÏÒÏÔÅ (ÓÒÅÄÎÉÅ ÛÉÒÏÔÙ); A - ×ÏÚÍÕ- Ý£ÎÎÁÑ ÇÅÏÍÁÇÎÉÔÎÁÑ ÏÂÓÔÁÎÏ×ËÁ. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ó 11.09/0910 UT úåíìñ îáèïäéìáóø ÷ "+" óåëôïòå íåöðìáîåôîïçï íáçîéôîïçï ðïìñ, îá óìåäõàýåê îåäåìå ðåòåóåþåîéñ óåëôïòîïê çòáîéãù îå ïöéäáåôóñ. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- óåîôñâòø 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 óåîôñâòø Wus 213 147 179 160 127 136 68 F10.7 215 205 207 201 186 172 173 Xbcg C3.0 C2.6 C3.1 C4.9 C5.2 C2.5 ó1.4 GOES Sp 1025 1010 1150 1020 710 750 290 msh N 1 0 2 0 1 1 0 IMF sign - - +/- + + + + DSCOVR,ACE e>2 1.3E+6 1.5E+6 2.5E+6 1.0E+6 1.8E+7 2.4E+7 5.8E+7 GOES Ie>2 <100 127 192 <100 1135 856 1692 pfu Ap 7 6 8 72 35 19 18 nT Dst -114 -92 -57 -52 nT KIOTO Amsc 8 8 10 44 24 17 16 nT IZMIRAN ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- IÅ>2 - ÐÉËÏ×ÙÊ ÐÏÔÏË ÜÌÅËÔÒÏÎÏ× Ó å>2 MeV × pfu (e/(cm2-sr-s)) × ÔÅÞÅÎÉÅ ÓÕÔÏË (ÓÏÂÙÔÉÑ Ó ÐÏÔÏËÏÍ >=1000 pfu); e>2 - ÎÁËÏÐÌÅÎÎÙÊ ÚÁ ÓÕÔËÉ ÐÏÔÏË ÜÌÅËÔÒÏÎÏ× ÎÁ ÇÅÏÓÔÁÃÉÏÎÁÒÎÙÈ ÏÒÂÉÔÁÈ ÐÏ ÄÁÎÎÙÍ ëá GOES × e/(cm2-sr-day). Pr>10 Mev: to 01.09/2030, tmax 03.09/1400, Ipmax 6.28 pfu, te 09.09/0600 Pr>10 Mev: to 09.09/0600, tmax 09.09/2250, Ipmax 34.2 pfu, te 14.09/1710 Pr>10 Mev: to 14.09/1710, tmax 15.09/1455, Ipmax 6.18 pfu, te × ÐÒÏÃÅÓÓÅ... Pr>100 Mev: to 14.09/1750, tmax 14.09/2030, Ipmax 0.32 pfu, te × ÐÒÏÃÅÓÓÅ... ðï äáîîùí GOES-16 ÷ùóïëéê õòï÷åîø ðïôïëá ÷ùóïëïüîåòçéþîùè üìåëôòïîï÷ ó å>2 íÜ÷ (>1000 pfu) îáâìàäáìóñ: ó 13.09/1635 UT ðï 13.09/1755 UT ó íáëóéíáìøîùí úîáþåîéåí 1135 pfu. ó 15.09/1120 UT × ÐÒÏÃÅÓÓÅ... îá óìåäõàýåê îåäåìå îá çåïóéîèòïîîïê ïòâéôå ïöéäáåôóñ ðòïäïìöåîéå ðòå÷ùûåîéñ õòï÷îñ 1000 pfu ðïôïëïí üìåëôòïîï÷ ó å>2 MeV. ÷ ôåþåîéå îåäåìé ðòïéúïûìé íáçîéôîùå âõòé: 12-13 óåîôñâòñ ÷ òåúõìøôáôå ÷ïúäåêóô÷éñ íåöðìáîåôîïê õäáòîïê ÷ïìîù (SI-32 nT 12.09/0350 UT) é ðïóìåäõàýåçï ðòéèïäá óíå ïô ÷óðùûëé í1.2 10.09/0028 îáâìàäáìáóø õíåòåîîáñ íáçîéôîáñ âõòñ (G3, Ams=65, ÄÌÉÔ=33 Þ ðï äáîîùí ãåîôòá ÷ âïõìäåòå), (G3, Ams=69, ÄÌÉÔ=30 Þ ðï äáîîùí ãåîôòá ÷ ðïôóäáíå) é íáìáñ íáçîéôîáñ âõòñ (G2, Ams= 51, ÄÌÉÔ=21 Þ ðï äáîîùí éúíéòáî). 13-14 óåîôñâòñ ÷ òåúõìøôáôå óï÷íåóôîïçï ÷ïúäåêóô÷éñ óíå ïô ÷óðùûëé í1.0 10.09/2350 é ÷ùóïëïóëïòïóôîïçï ðïôïëá ïô ïôòéãáôåìøîïê ëïòïîáìøîïê äùòù ÷ óå÷åòîïí ðïìõûáòéé îáâìàäáìáóø íáìáñ íáçîéôîáñ âõòñ (G2, Ams=32, ÄÌÉÔ=24 Þ ðï äáîîùí ãåîôòá ÷ âïõìäåòå), (G2, Ams=31, ÄÌÉÔ=24 Þ ðï äáîîùí ãåîôòá ÷ ðïôóäáíå) é (G1, Ams= 32, ÄÌÉÔ=12 Þ ðï äáîîùí éúíéòáî). ÷ ïóôáìøîïå ÷òåíñ çåïíáçîéôîáñ ïâóôáîï÷ëá íåîñìáóø ïô óðïëïêîïê äï ÷ïúíõýåîîïê. 16-17 óåîôñâòñ ïöéäáåôóñ õóéìåîéå çåïíáçîéôîïê áëôé÷îïóôé äï õòï÷îñ íáçîéôîïê âõòé ÷ òåúõìøôáôå óï÷íåóôîïçï ÷ïúäåêóô÷éñ ÷ùóïëïóëïòïóôîïçï ðïôïëá ïô ðïìïöéôåìøîïê ëï- òïîáìøîïê äùòù ÷ àöîïí ðïìõûáòéé é óíå ïô ÷óðùûåë í1.5 13.09/0056 é è4.5 14.09/1529. ÷ ïóôáìøîïå ÷òåíñ çåïíáçîéôîáñ ïâóôáîï÷ëá ïöéäáåôóñ ïô óðïëïêîïê äï óìáâï÷ïúíõýåîîïê. ÷ï ÷ôïòïê ðïìï÷éîå îåäåìé îå éóëìàþåîù íáçîéôîùå âõòé éú-úá ÷ùóïëïçï ÷óðùûåþîïçï ðïôåîãéáìá çåïüææåëôé÷îï òáóðïìïöåîîùè áëôé÷îùè ïâìáóôåê. ïâúïò é ðòïçîïú óïóôá÷ìåî ðï íáôåòéáìáí óìõöâù óïìîãá âïõìäåò, óûá http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ ãåîôòá óâïòá é ïâòáâïôëé óïìîåþîùè éîäåëóï÷, âòàóóåìø, âåìøçéñ http://sidc.oma.be/, éúíéòáî (ôòïéãë, òïóóéñ) http://www.izmiran.ru. ÷.î.éÛËÏ×, î.é.ìÅÂÅÄÅ×, í.î.ìÅÂÅÄÅ×